Geodemographics: the locational analysis of social, economic, and demographic information for urban and regional planning.
The Geodemographics section monitors growth and change on a city-wide basis to provide a context to manage Calgary's growth and corresponding quality of life. Our work includes:
- Tracking the planned land supply, including the location of new residential and non-residential (commercial, industrial) areas.
- Spatial allocation of economic and demographic projections (population and jobs forecast distributions).
- Analysis of City infrastructure, facility and service needs in relation to the planned land supply and projected development patterns.
- Supporting the planning activities of Planning & Development in both new and established areas by providing custom population and job distributions with related analyses.
Monitoring Growth & Change Series:
Suburban Residential Growth
Geodemographics conducts an inventory of suburban development activity each year to determine where and how fast Calgary is growing. The existing supply of residential land is then compared to the anticipated demand over a five year period.
TheSuburban Residential Growth 2016-2020
report also identifies City infrastructure needs as a result of this growth. The intent of the report is to ensure that a sufficient supply of readily developable land is available, in a variety of locations, to facilitate competitive land and housing markets, while avoiding premature municipal investment in infrastructure. This report is updated annually and is prepared with collaborative review from CHBA – UDI Calgary Region Association and various other stakeholders.
Estimates of the growth potential in new suburban communities are illustrated in the following infographic. This provides population build out capacity of the vacant residential land of planned areas with approved Area Structure Plans in place and plans currently underway. This infographic demonstrates the total population capacity and also states the land, housing and population capacity of the combined serviced land supply within these planned areas of which have approved land use in place as of April 2015.
For current monthly suburban residential lot supply (based upon the initial 2016-2020 report) please review the following information below.
Developing Suburban Communities Lot Supply Monitoring Monthly Report
The Developing Suburban Communities Lot Supply Monitoring Report provides an overview of level of lot supply in developing communities each month. The report uses subdivided vacant lot information from Civic Census as starting point. To get the current inventory level, subdivided lands (approved tentative plans for subdivision) are added and absorbed lands (based on issued building permits) are subtracted from the inventory.
The following data tables and charts provide current summaries of remaining area and unit capacities for single family and multi-family dwellings in actively developing areas of the City of Calgary. The data tables are estimated based on a methodology agreed to by the City and industry (the Urban Development Institute and Canadian Home Builders' Association - Calgary Region). The data links below provide tables and charts summarizing current subdivision activity.
Table 1: Summary Lot Supply Table. Cumulative Lot Supply to the current month. This table provides the current remaining capacity of serviced vacant developable land (lands under Outline Plan and tentative plan).
Table 2: Current Month Total Outline Plan and Approved Tentative Plan. Provides the current months review of tentative plan and outline plan approvals (green columns) as well as building permit approvals (the red column). The second red column provides two year average building permit volumes by community as a general indication of community absorption.
Chart 1: Single Family/Semi Unit Subdivided and Un-subdivided Capacity (April 2014 to February 2016).
Chart 2: Cumulative Single Family /Semi Unit Subdivided Capacity by Sector (April 2014 to February 2016).
Data Responsibility and Use
The City has prepared this information in good faith and care to ensure the data provided is accurate. However, the reported information depends on estimates and area calculations which may require some adjustment. The information presented is baselined to the annual Suburban Residential Growth report (vacant lot information from Civic Census), and may require a yearly adjustment.
Serviced land is defined as lands that have the five major City leading infrastructure services (Water, Sanitary, Storm, Fire and/or Transportation) either installed by The City or are to be provided by the developer without further major City expenditure. Private service extensions to be provided by the developer/builder may or may not be in place to individual lots. All serviced land inventory statistics reported here have land use in place.
Monthly Suburban Lot Supply Monitoring report is made available to public after City of Calgary and UDI-Calgary had a join presentation during UDI/CHBA meeting on February 13, 2015. The presentation explained the purpose of the report and outlines the methodology used to create the lot inventory.
Employment Areas Growth and Change
- Information on serviced, planned and annexed land supply available for industrial growth;
- Serviced land supply information by 'leading' municipal infrastructure categories required by the Growth Management Framework project;
- Estimates of citywide industrial land development over the last three years (2010 through 2012); and,
- A summary of related City of Calgary industrial land use policy.
Developed Areas Growth and Change
Calgary's Developed Areas house 80 per cent of the city's population, and include 176 different communities. Taken together, these areas are incredibly diverse, ranging from the office and residential towers of downtown to the school yards and homes in the suburbs.
For the first time, the Developed Areas Growth & Change 2014 report (currently in draft) identifies potential capacity for new housing units on vacant and underutilized parcels, as well as capacity within local area plans aligned with the MDP. The related info-graphic summarizes these major findings.
Of note is the high rate of dwelling unit construction in the Developed Areas over the past five years (2008-2013) which at 2,900 units/year accounts for almost 35% of total unit construction across Calgary.
The data tables are available here
Calgary Snapshots - Updates Available - June 2015
The Calgary Snapshots
provides an overview of the various reports and activities that Geodemographics undertakes to assist Council and the Administration in planning for growth and change.
Calgary Snapshots includes sections dealing with the Greenfield Development Picture, the Population Picture, the Employment Picture, Job Density Benchmarks and Factors Influencing Development. Geodemographics updates these sections as new information becomes available.
For ease of printing the Calgary Snapshots
bookmarks have been used in the main document. Go to the section you need and print the appropriate pages.
P.O. Box 2100, Stn M #8117